Flat-Object

0x3a50cb2a4a167cc8fb328105b8bf5ded3ac1241e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flat-Object: +$8.8K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$8.8K
return +48.5%
Settled bets
7
$18K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$330
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$9.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $3.3K
Oct 9 BUY Acend @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Playoffs $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY BIG @ 55¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $2.7K
Oct 1 BUY BIG @ 64¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $10K
Oct 1 BUY B8 @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner $1.2K
Sep 26 SELL Heroic @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 26 BUY Heroic @ 60¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 26 BUY NIP @ 39¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed