Bountiful-Armament
0x9f9cd1eaa62428d5b3e849b68f9cfafac63e101c
Bountiful-Armament: −$1.2K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 29%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.2K
return −6.7%
Settled bets
18
$18K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 29%–71%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$480
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$534
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY LOS
@ 73¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs |
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Vitality
@ 93¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Vitality
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $2.7K |
| Sep 19 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 97¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 97¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Team Lynx
@ 91¢
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group A |
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group A | $1.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 92¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.