Polymarket market · Other

SMU vs. Louisville

Resolved: Louisville won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $313K into this market since Sep 19, 75% of their buying on SMU. Louisville won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$25K and 16 lost −$228K: −$203K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unwieldy-Collagen
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 44¢ $73K — −$73K
Shoddy-Harmonise
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 37¢ $66K — −$66K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 35¢ $53K — −$53K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 39¢ $30K — −$12K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Louisville @ 72¢ $21K — −$1.6K
0xe015…6ffd
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 65¢ $9.8K — +$5.3K
Easy-Temptress-Intensity
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 54¢ $9.4K — +$7.8K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
SMU @ 36¢ $9.0K — −$5.4K
Corrupt-Poisoning
258 settled bets Beat the odds*
Louisville @ 64¢ $7.9K — +$4.4K
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 66¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
0x6db5…e279
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 61¢ $3.8K — +$2.4K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 44¢ $3.5K — −$655
Well-Made-Sovereignty
106 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 57¢ $3.3K — −$825
Scary-Fannypack
111 settled bets Beat the odds*
Louisville @ 53¢ $2.8K — +$2.5K
Hoarse-Atom
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 57¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Irresponsible-Autumn
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 47¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
140 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Louisville @ 54¢ $2.0K — +$1.7K
Normal-Check
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 56¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Fake-Cloakroom
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 37¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Yellow-Disclosure
2 settled bets Too few bets
SMU @ 51¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Zigzag-Clamp-Legume
37 settled bets Too few bets
Louisville @ 66¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Knowledgeable-Peertopeer
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Colossal-Dump
19 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Favorite-Incandescence
1 settled bets Too few bets
Louisville @ 57¢ $1.0K — +$774
Tame-Cabana
4 settled bets Too few bets
SMU @ 47¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. SMU lost
    $233K
    75% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $1.1K sold
  2. Louisville won
    $68K
    22% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $1.2K sold
  3. Louisville lost
    $9.6K
    3% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed