Fake-Cloakroom
0x7414f47e227846765c8abb1048606003a57072a3
Fake-Cloakroom: −$22K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 13%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$22K
return −49.4%
Settled bets
13
$46K staked
Won
30.8%
95% range 13%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$15K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$7.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Titans
@ 65¢
Eagles vs. Titans |
Eagles vs. Titans | $2.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yakult Brothers
@ 40¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY SMU
@ 37¢
SMU vs. Louisville |
SMU vs. Louisville | $1.8K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Francisco Cerundolo
@ 64¢
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx |
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | $4.5K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 72¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens |
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens | $1.3K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Arthur Gea
@ 64¢
US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea |
US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea | $2.1K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 77¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi |
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi | $4.6K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Arthur Rinderknech
@ 28¢
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech |
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.