Colossal-Dump

0x4c104e61febf3944fcfc05ee94551b815ffdb6a4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Colossal-Dump: +$5.8K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 27%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.8K
return +38.7%
Settled bets
19
$15K staked
Won
47.4%
95% range 27%–68%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$146
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$4.5K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY @ 57¢
Iowa State vs. BYU AND Wyoming vs. San Jose State
Iowa State vs. BYU AND Wyoming vs. San Jose State $1.2K
Oct 9 SELL Golden Knights @ 99.9¢
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights $1.1K
Oct 6 SELL Falcons @ 99.9¢
Falcons vs. Saints
Falcons vs. Saints $1.8K
Oct 6 SELL Falcons @ 99.9¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5)
Spread: Saints (-1.5) $2.1K
Oct 5 BUY Falcons @ 51¢
Spread: Saints (-1.5)
Spread: Saints (-1.5) $1.1K
Oct 5 SELL Panthers @ 98¢
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
Spread: Lions (-4.5) $1.0K
Oct 5 SELL Panthers @ 69¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY @ 69¢
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Joel Schwaerzler vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg AND China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Joel Schwaerzler vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg AND China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed