Polymarket market · Other

Temple vs. Toledo

Resolved: Toledo won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $84K into this market since Sep 19, 84% of their buying on Temple. Toledo won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$7.7K and 8 lost −$71K: −$63K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Easy-Temptress-Intensity
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Temple @ 60¢ $40K — −$40K
Hateful-Chord
157 settled bets Beat the odds*
Temple @ 34¢ $13K — −$13K
Boring-Musician
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Temple @ 34¢ $8.3K — −$8.3K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Toledo @ 44¢ $6.7K — +$3.7K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Toledo @ 58¢ $5.4K — +$4.0K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Temple @ 56¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Temple @ 94¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Toledo @ 67¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Decent-Armrest
189 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Toledo @ 99.88¢ $1.4K — +$2
Normal-Check
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Temple @ 58¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Temple @ 57¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Temple lost
    $71K
    84% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. Toledo won
    $11K
    14% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  3. Toledo lost
    $2.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed