Late-Cow-Objection
Skill vs luck
Late-Cow-Objection on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 43% (95% range 16%–75%) · profit +$1.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Late-Cow-Objection: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1eee4d6ad76b8e38848d0f6973f8c0e18ad1a9b4. Data CC BY 4.0.
Late-Cow-Objection: +$1.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$1.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | SELL Under
@ 75¢
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 |
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 | $1.3K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Terence Atmane @ 51¢ | Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong ↗ | $1.6K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Thunder @ 45¢ | Thunder vs. Rockets ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY 76ers @ 52¢ | 76ers vs. Hornets ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes
@ 97¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31? |
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31? | $1.4K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will South Africa win? |
Will South Africa win? | $1.2K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Taylor Fritz @ 99.9¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils ↗ | $2.8K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.