Alert-Eavesdropper
0x565c09cd32dbbde32d5b4fcd6c49d55dd84f878d
Alert-Eavesdropper: +$47K on 96 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 23%–41%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$47K
return +27.9%
Settled bets
96
$168K staked
Won
31.2%
95% range 23%–41%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 61 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$43K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$3.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | SELL Nauhany Leme Da Silva
@ 50¢
Sao Paulo Open: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Astra Sharma |
Sao Paulo Open: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Astra Sharma | $2.4K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Gabriela Ce
@ 11¢
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce |
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA
@ 17¢
W50 Guiyang: Yufei Ren vs Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA |
W50 Guiyang: Yufei Ren vs Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Frances Tiafoe
@ 6¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | $1.1K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Guiomar Maristany
@ 99.9¢
Montreux: Clara Burel vs Guiomar Maristany |
Montreux: Clara Burel vs Guiomar Maristany | $7.0K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Francesco Maestrelli
@ 10¢
Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski |
Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski | $2.0K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Yuta Shimizu
@ 99.9¢
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu |
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu | $8.6K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Marsborne
@ 31¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.