Excitable-Suit
0x366600e2990af0bd4abc962f70b85a605fceaab6
Excitable-Suit: −$4.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.0K
return −22.0%
Settled bets
5
$18K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$192
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | SELL No
@ 61¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $1.1K |
| Sep 9 | SELL No
@ 69¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $1.7K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 84¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $1.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 83¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $2.8K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 83¢
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | $4.2K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 70¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $1.7K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 64¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $2.2K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? | $3.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.