Married-Essay
0x9ac5bc1634b7453a415c1928157f0f511e59917b
Married-Essay: −$1.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.1K
return −20.1%
Settled bets
2
$5.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$268
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $10K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $3.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.4K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $3.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 94¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | $4.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.