Polymarket market · Esports

Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Resolved: Nongshim RedForce won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $107K into this market since Oct 3, 61% of their buying on Nongshim RedForce. Nongshim RedForce won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$57K and 12 lost −$31K: +$26K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 43¢ $20K — +$26K
Alert-Twister-Chicken
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 49¢ $13K — +$14K
Rosy-Trinket
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 42¢ $9.9K — +$14K
Cuddly-Battalion
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 57¢ $8.9K — −$8.9K
Leading-Parking
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 58¢ $3.0K $4.1K +$1.1K
Worst-Analogue
366 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 88¢ $4.6K — −$859
Insubstantial-Greenhouse
8 settled bets Too few bets
Nongshim RedForce @ 79¢ $2.0K $2.5K +$508
Ugly-Crab
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 54¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Nongshim RedForce @ 47¢ $1.2K $2.7K —
Nippy-Proximal-Shadow
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 58¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Wide-Swordfish-Latitude
47 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Nervous-Parallelogram
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 90¢ $3.0K — −$999
Repentant-Snowman
15 settled bets Too few bets
Karmine Corp @ 58¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Double-Bricklaying
141 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 58¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Puzzled-Agenda
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Tedious-Pagan
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 90¢ $1.8K — +$200
Indelible-Try
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 59¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Flaky-Integer
277 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 53¢ $1.6K — +$1.4K
Actual-Respite
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 58¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Rotating-Creche
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 68¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Thin-Fatigue
1 settled bets Too few bets
Karmine Corp @ 58¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Burly-Tonality
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Biodegradable-Prevalence
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Noteworthy-Clinic
10 settled bets Too few bets
Karmine Corp @ 58¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Boring-Constellation
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Nongshim RedForce won
    $54K
    61% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $14K sold
  2. Karmine Corp lost
    $34K
    39% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $4.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed