Biodegradable-Prevalence
0xc236423c58601ef43ada53ef66fa6ea6f9fbe3d3
Biodegradable-Prevalence: −$1.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.3K
return −29.5%
Settled bets
6
$4.3K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL Nongshim RedForce
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D |
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | $1.1K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Yes
@ 99.1¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? |
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | $1.1K |
| Aug 23 | BUY FURIA
@ 38¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Aug 23 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 47¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | $1.5K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Spirit
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Aug 21 | SELL FUT Esports
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.