Puzzled-Agenda
0x185056a052c5e0ab1c866c9b57fb9e9508898903
Puzzled-Agenda: +$167 on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 23% (95% range 8%–50%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$167
return +3.2%
Settled bets
13
$5.2K staked
Won
23.1%
95% range 8%–50%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$53
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$118
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Nongshim RedForce
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D |
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Andrey Rublev
@ 99¢
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin |
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin | $1.1K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Global Esports
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Diana Shnaider
@ 89¢
China Open: Janice Tjen vs Diana Shnaider |
China Open: Janice Tjen vs Diana Shnaider | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Alexander Zverev
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie |
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie | $1.2K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Paper Rex
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C |
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | $1.2K |
| Sep 18 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.