Rotating-Creche
0xb726e9f59c0ed9ff6f4e59192d9817bd70af4d2b
Rotating-Creche: +$2.1K on 35 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 34% (95% range 21%–51%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.1K
return +6.4%
Settled bets
35
$33K staked
Won
34.3%
95% range 21%–51%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$3.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY M80
@ 23¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY T1
@ 24¢
Valorant: NRG vs T1 - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: NRG vs T1 - Map 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Luminosity
@ 33¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Nemiga
@ 67¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Karmine Corp
@ 68¢
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D |
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team Falcons
@ 89¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY G2 Esports
@ 52¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.