Snappy-Warden
0xf17cd97d0316fd7c57b38db85a35548fd8a70c29
Snappy-Warden: −$2.7K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.7K
return −80.7%
Settled bets
6
$3.4K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$485
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 92¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $2.5K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 68¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | $1.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 85¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $2.1K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Yes
@ 40¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | $1.4K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 67¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.5K |
| Aug 29 | SELL No
@ 99.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | $5.8K |
| Aug 27 | BUY No
@ 86¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | $1.0K |
| Aug 22 | BUY No
@ 73¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.