Capital-Kiwi
0xd46be610a32e5c6ee094977e3caf9ab89c525dab
Capital-Kiwi: +$454 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$454
return +8.3%
Settled bets
3
$5.4K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$308
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$299
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$154
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL No
@ 84¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $4.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 91¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $6.6K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Yes
@ 45¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 82¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $3.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 89¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Yes
@ 62¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $5.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 78¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $7.0K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes
@ 32¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.