Serene-Sculpting
0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f
Serene-Sculpting: +$314 on 99 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 96% (95% range 90%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$314
return +0.1%
Settled bets
99
$271K staked
Won
96.0%
95% range 90%–98%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 95 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$21
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 87¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $2.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.88¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 6? |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 6? | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4? |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4? | $3.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 89¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $8.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 99.89¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 3? |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 3? | $2.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 99.82¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 94°F or higher on October 3? |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 94°F or higher on October 3? | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 3? |
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 3? | $1.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $4.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.