Meaty-Place
Skill vs luck
Meaty-Place on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$210. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Meaty-Place: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9ef582748baf671ee716075658b870ae747c5d4f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Meaty-Place: +$210 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$9
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$219
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes
@ 32¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | $4.6K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 39¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | $5.8K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes
@ 2¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | $1.3K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes @ 94¢ | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ | $16K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes @ 78¢ | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? ↗ | $16K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | $4.5K |
| Oct 12 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Iran leadership change by October 31? |
Iran leadership change by October 31? | $1.9K |
| Oct 11 | BUY No @ 95¢ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? ↗ | $4.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?