Spanish-Sustainment
0x9e7296fc4776144f60db9a5943ff2051696599c4
Spanish-Sustainment: +$1.9K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.9K
return +8.1%
Settled bets
5
$24K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$641
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$551
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$712
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL No
@ 78¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | $5.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 78¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $5.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 91¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $5.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 76¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 80¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 75¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | $3.0K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 92¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $8.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 69¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.