Polymarket market · Sports

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

32 whales put $124K into this market since Sep 7, 90% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$31K and 3 lost −$9.0K: +$22K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 32
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 84¢ $26K — +$5.0K
Passionate-Minorleague
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 88¢ $10K — +$1.4K
Massive-Capital
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 67¢ $8.7K — +$4.3K
Anchored-Litigation
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $6.0K — +$316
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 38¢ $6.0K — −$3.4K
Made-Up-Remnant
48 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 62¢ $2.1K $3.3K +$1.3K
Outrageous-Prevention
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 80¢ $5.0K — +$1.3K
Imperturbable-Counter
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 40¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
0xc4c1…6b32
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 62¢ $4.0K — +$2.5K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $3.8K — +$2.5K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 61¢ $3.7K — +$2.4K
Impractical-Ikebana
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 89¢ $2.0K $1.7K —
Excited-Bond
28 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Shiny-Appetizer
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 61¢ $3.1K — +$2.0K
Frail-Formula
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 85¢ $3.0K — +$515
Kosher-Refuse
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 62¢ $2.9K — +$1.8K
Gray-Donor
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 91¢ $1.2K $1.3K —
Essential-Margin
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Leading-Parking
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 63¢ $2.2K — +$1.3K
Kind-Boxspring
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Jumbo-Majorleague-Hypothermia
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 62¢ $2.0K — +$1.2K
Prickly-Clasp-Discount
219 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 88¢ $1.8K — +$240
Unhappy-Collar
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 39¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Good-Authenticity
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Complicated-Twine
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 61¢ $1.4K — +$870

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $95K
    90% of whale buying · 23 buyers · $16K sold
  2. No lost
    $9.1K
    9% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $2.8K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $1.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 7 to Sep 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed