Kind-Boxspring

0x7d3e46df87bd3942a4b50baddc8a7c5e8f2e534e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Kind-Boxspring: −$419 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$419
return −14.6%
Settled bets
2
$2.9K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$419
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 9 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? $2.9K
Sep 8 SELL Yes @ 82¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? $2.2K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed