Prickly-Clasp-Discount
0x34a1eed3f6bb10dd2f99b79cb4e8ca8749ae7622
Prickly-Clasp-Discount: −$31K on 207 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 36%–49%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).
Profit
−$31K
return −4.0%
Settled bets
207
$776K staked
Won
42.0%
95% range 36%–49%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 202 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$126K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$37K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$59K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 21¢
Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5 |
Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 30¢
Kashima Antlers vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 |
Kashima Antlers vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 26¢
SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 |
SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Under
@ 35¢
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 |
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 84¢
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng |
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng | $20K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Anna Blinkova
@ 90¢
Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova |
Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova | $3.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 34¢
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 |
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 30¢
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 |
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.