Polymarket market · Sports

Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $65K into this market since Sep 7, 85% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$32K and 3 lost −$8.8K: +$24K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 56¢ $24K — +$19K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 78¢ $10K — +$2.9K
Flaky-Campaign
41 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 56¢ $9.4K — +$7.4K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $6.1K — −$6.1K
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 69¢ $4.8K — +$2.1K
Deserted-Workshop
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Spiteful-Equal
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Physical-Enjoyment
41 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Mean-Recruit-Idea
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $1.1K — +$860
Paltry-Reliability
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 76¢ $1.1K — +$344
Orderly-Venture
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 46¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $51K
    85% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $5.7K sold
  2. No lost
    $8.8K
    15% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 7 to Sep 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed