0xc4c1…6b32
0xc4c1065d8dba0be248a3994fdefd97bd83ff6b32
0xc4c1…6b32: −$4.6K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 48%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.6K
return −5.9%
Settled bets
20
$77K staked
Won
70.0%
95% range 48%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$3.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$8.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | $5.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 40¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | $1.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | $5.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | $8.1K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | $5.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.