Essential-Margin

0x7409de7b7fa57fb9b508aadd987841ff8a0665a6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Essential-Margin: +$3.6K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 7%–45%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.6K
return —
Settled bets
15
$0 staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 7%–45%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.6K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 SELL No @ 88¢
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-19?
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-19? $1.2K
Sep 16 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 $1.2K
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 90¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? $1.7K
Sep 9 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5 $1.1K
Sep 8 SELL Yes @ 74¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? $2.3K
Sep 5 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Villarreal CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 3.5
Villarreal CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 3.5 $1.3K
Sep 5 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 $1.6K
Sep 5 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5 $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed