Outrageous-Prevention
0x4d747307bbe6bf67506a40ea66569bf560b1a37f
Outrageous-Prevention: −$1.6K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 73% (95% range 48%–89%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.6K
return −2.9%
Settled bets
15
$56K staked
Won
73.3%
95% range 48%–89%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$120
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 4.5 |
Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 4.5 | $25K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? |
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? | $1.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 67¢
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? |
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? | $2.0K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Under
@ 92¢
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5 |
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-09-14? |
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-09-14? | $2.2K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-09-14? |
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-09-14? | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 99.31¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | $4.8K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.