Massive-Capital
0x64e93f87d8a0c1b2cde6f20d71f211372a95eb4c
Massive-Capital: −$8.7K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 36%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$8.7K
return −16.6%
Settled bets
19
$52K staked
Won
57.9%
95% range 36%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$4.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Alexander Chavez
@ 51¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez (Flyweight, Main Card) |
Dana White's Contender Series: Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez (Flyweight, Main Card) | $3.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? | $5.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 15¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-03? | $1.0K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? |
Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? | $3.9K |
| Sep 17 | BUY India
@ 88¢
Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan |
Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan | $1.8K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Bangladesh
@ 98¢
T20 Asian Games, Women: Bangladesh vs China |
T20 Asian Games, Women: Bangladesh vs China | $2.3K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 90¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-12? | $3.1K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.