Frail-Formula
0xf9e7477955a374354f6864db1841e19ceeb50a87
Frail-Formula: −$1.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.3K
return −9.1%
Settled bets
6
$15K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$117
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? |
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | $2.3K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? |
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | $1.3K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | $1.7K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | $3.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | $6.5K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | $1.4K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.