Determined-Percentage
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
Determined-Percentage: +$512 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 57%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$512
return +2.0%
Settled bets
5
$26K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 57%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$214
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$298
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 64¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $8.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | $3.8K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | $2.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $11K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | $8.9K |
| Sep 1 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $15K |
| Aug 26 | BUY No
@ 96¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | $3.8K |
| Aug 26 | BUY No
@ 99.45¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | $6.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.