Required-Spit
0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed
Required-Spit: +$5.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$5.5K
return +51.3%
Settled bets
4
$11K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$5.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | SELL No
@ 56¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | SELL No
@ 40¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | $1.5K |
| Sep 6 | BUY No
@ 83¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $1.7K |
| Sep 3 | BUY No
@ 82¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $2.1K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | $1.6K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Yes
@ 35¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $7.0K |
| Aug 23 | SELL No
@ 96¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.