Comfortable-Span
0x3007ea6df4389c173a5119162be94aac6bba763a
Comfortable-Span: −$1.5K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.5K
return −50.7%
Settled bets
8
$3.0K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$311
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | SELL No
@ 78¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 40¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 35¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 25 | SELL Yes
@ 33¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 66¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $4.0K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 91¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $9.6K |
| Sep 22 | SELL No
@ 64¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $2.3K |
| Sep 22 | SELL No
@ 76¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $5.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.