Mysterious-Offense
0x17b8dd10eb8657c495fe04a469c956fcc301d5d1
Mysterious-Offense: +$2.5K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 68% (95% range 46%–85%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.5K
return +7.6%
Settled bets
19
$34K staked
Won
68.4%
95% range 46%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$603
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$421
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Alivia Bierley
@ 51¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) |
Dana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 35¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds |
O/U 2.5 Rounds | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Montel Jackson
@ 84¢
UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) |
UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Marlon Vera
@ 95¢
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) |
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) | $1.8K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Charles Jourdain
@ 66¢
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) |
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) | $1.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 33¢
Fight to Go the Distance? |
Fight to Go the Distance? | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Manon Fiorot
@ 38¢
Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Regina Tarin
@ 75¢
Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) |
Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.