Polymarket market · Sports

Raiders vs. Patriots

Resolved: Patriots won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $277K into this market since Oct 11, 93% of their buying on Patriots. Patriots won. Of the 21 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$100K and 7 lost −$19K: +$81K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unwieldy-Collagen
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 63¢ $126K — +$74K
Trivial-Ravioli
261 settled bets Worse than the odds
Patriots @ 97¢ $31K — +$1.0K
Handy-Disconnection
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 96¢ $29K — +$1.2K
Glaring-Salt
1,654 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 63¢ $19K — +$11K
0x9b11…5375
143 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 74¢ $10K — +$3.5K
Tinted-Consciousness
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 99.9¢ $8.7K — +$9
True-Counsel
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.0K —
Careful-Gazebo
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 64¢ $5.3K — +$3.0K
Black-Encirclement
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 38¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Deserted-Lilac
7 settled bets Too few bets
Patriots @ 63¢ $5.0K — +$2.9K
Gifted-Language-Morbid
8 settled bets Too few bets
Patriots @ 64¢ $1.9K $2.7K +$802
Substantial-Service
787 settled bets Beat the odds*
Raiders @ 37¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Nutritious-Investigation-Townhouse
3 settled bets Too few bets
Patriots @ 92¢ $3.0K — +$263
Grown-Difference-Burnout
150 settled bets Beat the odds*
Raiders @ 17¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Negligible-Somersault
122 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 27¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
152 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 63¢ $2.0K — +$1.1K
Homely-Gosling
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 9¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Understated-Showstopper-Motel
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Wrathful-Row
150 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 80¢ $1.6K — +$400
Potable-Preparation
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Near-Jellyfish
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Lean-Attraction
7 settled bets Too few bets
Patriots @ 63¢ $1.4K — +$822
Gloomy-Warfare
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 99.3¢ $1.4K — +$10
Energetic-Patriarch
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 38¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
0x7671…7244
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 37¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Patriots won
    $245K
    93% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $12K sold
  2. Raiders lost
    $19K
    7% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Patriots (-3.5) $94K 8 Won: Patriots
Bengals vs. Dolphins $432K 15 Won: Bengals
Browns vs. Jets $497K 33 Won: Jets
Colts vs. Steelers $194K 23 Won: Steelers
Vikings vs. Saints $956K 47 Won: Vikings
Spread: 49ers (-3.5) $66K 5 Won: Seahawks
Bears vs. Packers $149K 28 Won: Packers
Texans vs. Titans $177K 15 Won: Texans
About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed