Energetic-Patriarch
0xf93f33cc7d962e9286ca08c285fb4c7508b8f94b
Energetic-Patriarch: −$1.3K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 19%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.3K
return −4.9%
Settled bets
16
$27K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 19%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- +$680
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- +$2.5K
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- −$4.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Chargers
@ 25¢
Broncos vs. Chargers |
Broncos vs. Chargers | $1.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY 49ers
@ 42¢
49ers vs. Seahawks |
49ers vs. Seahawks | $1.1K |
| Oct 11 | BUY 49ers
@ 56¢
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | $1.7K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Chargers
@ 38¢
Broncos vs. Chargers |
Broncos vs. Chargers | $1.9K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Bears
@ 17¢
Bears vs. Packers |
Bears vs. Packers | $1.2K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Raiders
@ 38¢
Raiders vs. Patriots |
Raiders vs. Patriots | $1.1K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Bears
@ 51¢
Bears vs. Packers |
Bears vs. Packers | $1.5K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Bears
@ 34¢
Spread: Bears (-6.5) |
Spread: Bears (-6.5) | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.