Damaged-Bore
Skill vs luck
Damaged-Bore on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 19%–81%) · profit +$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Damaged-Bore: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9e7a43eb64ada162514a38c4f35d1bedc4b51eec. Data CC BY 4.0.
Damaged-Bore: +$1.4K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$1.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 57¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | $1.0K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Bucks @ 84¢ | Pacers vs. Bucks ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Cavaliers @ 60¢ | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Kings @ 46¢ | Grizzlies vs. Kings ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Pistons @ 70¢ | Pistons vs. 76ers ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Pistons @ 78¢ | Pistons vs. 76ers ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Petr Yan @ 59¢ | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Raptors
@ 98¢
Bulls vs. Raptors |
Bulls vs. Raptors | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?