Polymarket market · Sports

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Resolved: Warriors won · See it on Polymarket ↗

36 whales traded $259K on this market since Oct 27, 53% of their buying on Warriors. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Warriors won, with 53% of the whale buying on it. Of the 30 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$77K and 16 lost −$94K: −$17K between them. Biggest win: Vivid-Ski, +$51K on Warriors. Biggest loss: Rosy-Trinket, −$44K on Timberwolves.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 36
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rosy-Trinket
169 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Timberwolves @ 61¢ $44K — −$44K
Vivid-Ski
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 41¢ $36K — +$51K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
408 settled bets Beat the odds*
Warriors @ 80¢ $15K — +$732
Smart-Elbow
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Timberwolves @ 62¢ $14K — −$14K
Regular-Gallon
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 99¢ $13K — +$176
Glass-Treat
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 99¢ $12K — +$162
Noisy-Word
65 settled bets Beat the odds*
Warriors @ 41¢ $7.0K $4.9K −$2.1K
Scornful-West
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $11K —
Partial-Fraud
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 97¢ $9.7K — +$300
Those-Statute-Screamer
1 settled bets Too few bets
Timberwolves @ 64¢ $9.6K — −$9.6K
Obvious-Mastoid
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 61¢ $8.6K — −$645
Wide-Sprout
78 settled bets Beat the odds*
Timberwolves @ 48¢ $1.8K $5.8K —
Wooden-Breath
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Timberwolves @ 53¢ $5.3K $2.0K −$3.3K
Essential-Meteor
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Timberwolves @ 17¢ $6.9K — −$6.9K
Powerless-Savannah
3,066 settled bets Beat the odds*
Timberwolves @ 57¢ $4.6K — −$1.6K
Itchy-Shame
6 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 83¢ $4.0K — +$819
Homely-Watercress
1 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 40¢ $4.0K — +$6.0K
Solid-Porcelain
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 97¢ $4.0K — +$136
Limping-Plan-Fishmonger
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Acceptable-Weather
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 37¢ $3.8K — +$6.5K
Rich-Calf
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Worn-Haunt-Benefit
12 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 39¢ $3.0K — +$4.7K
Fitting-Award
14 settled bets Too few bets
Timberwolves @ 45¢ $2.5K — +$591
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,302 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Timberwolves @ 63¢ $2.4K — −$1.1K
Hungry-Webmail
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Timberwolves @ 60¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Warriors won
    $121K
    53% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $13K sold
  2. Timberwolves lost
    $106K
    47% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $20K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793257219).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Knicks vs. Bulls $108K 30 Won: Knicks
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5 $215K 3 Won: Under
Nuggets vs. Pelicans $248K 20 Won: Nuggets
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays $209K 18 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
76ers vs. Pacers $285K 44 Won: 76ers
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 $156K 3 Won: Under
Spurs vs. Jazz $119K 29 Won: Spurs
Devils vs. Avalanche $55K 4 Won: Avalanche
About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed