Itchy-Shame
Skill vs luck
Itchy-Shame on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Itchy-Shame: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3e470be33632d4c3d35e7417844dde280b69a9a9. Data CC BY 4.0.
Itchy-Shame: +$2.4K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.4K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Over
@ 76¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $2.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 67¢
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) | $3.6K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?