Polymarket market · Sports
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
3 whales traded $215K on this market since Oct 29, 97% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 17% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 3% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$7.5K and 2 lost −$209K: −$201K between them. Biggest win: Smart-Elbow, +$7.5K on Under. Biggest loss: Vivid-Ski, −$180K on Over.
The whales on this market
3 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Ski
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 53¢ | $180K | — | −$180K |
| Substantial-Service
1,111 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Over @ 53¢ | $28K | — | −$28K |
| Smart-Elbow
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 47¢ | $6.6K | — | +$7.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
Over lost$209K97% of whale buying · 2 buyers
-
Under won$6.6K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793343609).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Mavericks | $403K | 46 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | $209K | 18 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | $259K | 36 | Won: Warriors | |
| Knicks vs. Bulls | $108K | 30 | Won: Knicks | |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 | $156K | 3 | Won: Under | |
| Spurs vs. Jazz | $119K | 29 | Won: Spurs | |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans | $248K | 20 | Won: Nuggets | |
| Devils vs. Avalanche | $55K | 4 | Won: Avalanche |