Essential-Meteor

0x3a55b0c45449b955e43ec10734bd988bb5d1394e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Essential-Meteor: −$13K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 17%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$13K
return −51.7%
Settled bets
10
$25K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 17%–69%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$13K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$424
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99¢
Will Andrey Pulyaev win by KO or TKO?
Will Andrey Pulyaev win by KO or TKO? $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 98¢
O/U 0.5 Rounds
O/U 0.5 Rounds $1.1K
Oct 3 SELL No @ 95¢
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? $1.3K
Oct 3 SELL No @ 95¢
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? $7.5K
Sep 29 BUY No @ 55¢
Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?
Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO? $3.3K
Sep 22 BUY Rams @ 52¢
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
Spread: Rams (-6.5) $3.1K
Sep 20 BUY Broncos @ 50¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos
Jaguars vs. Broncos $3.0K
Sep 20 BUY LSU @ 57¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $11K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed