Worn-Haunt-Benefit
Skill vs luck
Worn-Haunt-Benefit on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$3.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Worn-Haunt-Benefit: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc5478724cf5bc0c351065b66b68fb897c33c2d63. Data CC BY 4.0.
Worn-Haunt-Benefit: +$3.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$3.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Gen.G @ 58¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Movistar KOI @ 70¢ | LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $6.0K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Top Esports @ 67¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?