Rich-Calf

0xaaa82fa3d56076ffe81e05cfe37c9eb243147ea2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Rich-Calf: −$4.1K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.1K
return −15.7%
Settled bets
8
$26K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$179
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL Elena Rybakina @ 71¢
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva $3.8K
Oct 3 BUY Elena Rybakina @ 94¢
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva $5.0K
Oct 3 BUY Dallas Wings @ 82¢
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries $2.0K
Oct 2 BUY Naomi Osaka @ 96¢
China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka
China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka $5.0K
Sep 27 SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 67¢
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong $3.2K
Sep 27 BUY Kimberly Birrell @ 96¢
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell $3.0K
Sep 27 BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 96¢
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili $3.0K
Sep 26 BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 97¢
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska $3.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed