Polymarket market · Sports

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Resolved: Miami Marlins won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales put $117K into this market since Sep 16, 62% of their buying on Miami Marlins. Miami Marlins won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$36K and 6 lost −$37K: −$324 between them.

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unlined-Brownie
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 45¢ $18K — +$22K
Hateful-Chord
166 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 56¢ $14K — −$14K
Baggy-Illustration
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 59¢ $4.6K $8.3K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 42¢ $11K — −$7.2K
Unwieldy-Supporter
434 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 71¢ $7.2K — +$2.9K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 56¢ $6.1K — −$6.1K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 56¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Slow-Shovel
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 72¢ $5.4K — +$2.2K
Dependable-Waterfront
389 settled bets Beat the odds*
Miami Marlins @ 83¢ $4.3K — +$866
Filthy-Balalaika
11 settled bets Too few bets
Miami Marlins @ 80¢ $4.3K — +$1.1K
Vacant-Knowledge-Incidence
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 87¢ $4.1K — +$593
Plaintive-Killing-Survey
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.6K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Miami Marlins @ 62¢ $2.5K — +$1.5K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 73¢ $2.4K — +$905
Grimy-Vibrissae
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 78¢ $2.3K — +$660
Tedious-Purchase
9 settled bets Too few bets
Miami Marlins @ 79¢ $2.0K — +$532
Soupy-Champagne-Invitation
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 20¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Considerate-Turf-Dwell
9 settled bets Too few bets
Miami Marlins @ 45¢ $2.0K — +$2.4K
Adolescent-Style-Brief
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 74¢ $2.0K — +$701
Tame-Cabana
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Miserly-Synod
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Sympathetic-Back
35 settled bets Beat the odds*
Miami Marlins @ 99¢ $1.2K — +$13
Negligible-Somersault
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 18¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Miami Marlins won
    $64K
    62% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $14K sold
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks lost
    $39K
    38% of whale buying · 7 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed