Polymarket market · Sports

Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros

Resolved: Kansas City Royals won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $143K into this market since Sep 16, 88% of their buying on Houston Astros. Kansas City Royals won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$8.7K and 7 lost −$123K: −$114K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Prickly-Hype
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 61¢ $109K — −$109K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Houston Astros @ 28¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Slow-Shovel
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 59¢ $4.7K — +$3.3K
Filthy-Balalaika
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.3K —
Happy-Go-Lucky-Physical-Knifeedge
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 70¢ $4.3K — +$1.8K
Generous-Burning
213 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 61¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Unwilling-Pride
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 99¢ $2.3K — +$31
Royal-Gland
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 36¢ $2.0K — +$3.5K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 58¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Victorious-Carpenter
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 58¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Frightened-Accomplishment
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 30¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Rubbery-Fingerling
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 61¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Querulous-Futon
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 98¢ $1.2K — +$22

Where the whale money went

  1. Houston Astros lost
    $122K
    88% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Kansas City Royals won
    $15K
    11% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $5.8K sold
  3. Houston Astros lost
    $1.4K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed