Considerate-Turf-Dwell

0xb9392e612a5b05063ca012b5dede548e16e5da70

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Considerate-Turf-Dwell: +$54K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$54K
return +61.3%
Settled bets
8
$88K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$37K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$16K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Under @ 55¢
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 $2.0K
Oct 6 BUY Under @ 54¢
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 $1.0K
Sep 20 BUY @ 37¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) AND New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) AND New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks $3.8K
Sep 19 BUY Boston Red Sox @ 42¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays $4.1K
Sep 18 BUY @ 35¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds $16K
Sep 17 BUY @ 52¢
Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays AND San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays AND San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies $4.0K
Sep 17 BUY Miami Marlins @ 45¢
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks $2.0K
Sep 15 BUY @ 47¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates $6.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed