Filthy-Balalaika
0xc31e412dc32565f32a9e1b2e150361957db263fa
Filthy-Balalaika: +$3.4K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 73% (95% range 43%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$3.4K
return +16.0%
Settled bets
11
$21K staked
Won
72.7%
95% range 43%–90%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$126
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | SELL Bills
@ 99.9¢
Lions vs. Bills |
Lions vs. Bills | $1.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Houston Astros
@ 97¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros |
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | $3.7K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Miami Marlins
@ 80¢
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks |
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | $4.3K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Kansas City Royals
@ 99.9¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros |
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | $4.3K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? | $3.9K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? | $3.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Down
@ 94¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | $1.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Down
@ 97¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.