Polymarket market · Sports

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

Resolved: San Diego Padres won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $149K into this market since Sep 30, 85% of their buying on San Diego Padres. San Diego Padres won. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$97K and 6 lost −$22K: +$75K between them.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Flaky-Campaign
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 56¢ $68K — +$53K
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 58¢ $15K — +$11K
Dependable-Waterfront
389 settled bets Beat the odds*
San Diego Padres @ 60¢ $9.0K — +$6.0K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 56¢ $8.9K — +$6.9K
Wordy-Littleneck
322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 32¢ $7.9K — −$7.9K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
San Diego Padres @ 56¢ $5.2K — +$4.1K
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 56¢ $4.9K — +$3.9K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 56¢ $4.4K — +$3.5K
Royal-Gland
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 44¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Kosher-Refuse
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 46¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Urban-Cape-Disk
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 44¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Woeful-Chart
7 settled bets Too few bets
San Diego Padres @ 57¢ $3.1K — +$2.3K
0x081c…f010
1 settled bets Too few bets
San Diego Padres @ 57¢ $2.5K — +$2.0K
Plump-Advancement
11 settled bets Too few bets
Chicago Cubs @ 26¢ $2.3K — −$1.2K
Authentic-Vernacular-Rust
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 45¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Quick-Witted-Power-Deer
11 settled bets Too few bets
San Diego Padres @ 57¢ $2.0K — +$1.5K
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 57¢ $2.0K — +$1.5K
Bewitched-Pitcher
1 settled bets Too few bets
San Diego Padres @ 58¢ $1.0K — +$726

Where the whale money went

  1. San Diego Padres won
    $127K
    85% of whale buying · 13 buyers
  2. Chicago Cubs lost
    $22K
    15% of whale buying · 6 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed