Plump-Advancement

0x2c2abaa25bc357aab18b032d2b720595c362267e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Plump-Advancement: −$55K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 15%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$55K
return −65.5%
Settled bets
11
$84K staked
Won
36.4%
95% range 15%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$25K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$31K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Team Liquid @ 87¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs $5.8K
Oct 4 BUY BNK FEARX @ 60¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.1K
Oct 2 SELL Steelers @ 18¢
Steelers vs. Browns
Steelers vs. Browns $1.7K
Oct 1 BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 51¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves $2.6K
Oct 1 BUY San Diego Padres @ 96¢
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY Chicago Cubs @ 26¢
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres $1.2K
Sep 30 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 93¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves $20K
Sep 29 SELL Eagles @ 40¢
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles vs. Bears $18K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed