Quick-Witted-Power-Deer

0x38ee7c83277adb670eb930f0179f26eb3827a618

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Quick-Witted-Power-Deer: +$14K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 52%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$14K
return +60.9%
Settled bets
11
$23K staked
Won
81.8%
95% range 52%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$14K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Bengals @ 56¢
Jaguars vs. Bengals
Jaguars vs. Bengals $1.3K
Oct 4 SELL Colts @ 99.9¢
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
Spread: Colts (-3.5) $3.2K
Oct 3 BUY TCU @ 61¢
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
Spread: BYU (-7.5) $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY TCU @ 65¢
Spread: BYU (-8.5)
Spread: BYU (-8.5) $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 62¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5 $2.5K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 59¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5 $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 57¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5 $2.0K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 54¢
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed