Royal-Gland
0x99aa00fde98f1ee632a3a60c7d13cf0d14716c5a
Royal-Gland: −$15K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 22%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$15K
return −22.2%
Settled bets
26
$66K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 22%–57%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$17K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Francisco Cerundolo
@ 42¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik | $3.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Brandon Nakashima
@ 53¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 55.5 |
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 55.5 | $7.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 55.5 |
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 55.5 | $2.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Michael Zheng
@ 52¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 49¢
China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng |
China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Hawaii
@ 41¢
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i |
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i | $2.5K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Virginia Tech
@ 49¢
Spread: Virginia Tech (-7.5) |
Spread: Virginia Tech (-7.5) | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.