Polymarket market · Sports

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

40 whales traded $662K on this market since Oct 23, 98% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 98% of the whale buying on it. Of the 29 whales whose whole position we captured, 27 made +$162K and 2 lost −$12K: +$150K between them. Biggest win: Busy-Wolf-Spectacle, +$112K on Yes. Biggest loss: Spiffy-Revenue, −$6.4K on No.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 40
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $288K — +$112K
Perfumed-Cacao
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $79K — +$79
Splendid-Armour-Knee
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 89¢ $22K $46K —
Esteemed-Cloves
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 67¢ $26K — +$13K
Vivid-Suggestion
14 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 68¢ $20K — +$9.6K
Trivial-Ravioli
315 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99¢ $17K — +$175
Fortunate-Plagiarism
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 86¢ $7.0K $8.1K +$1.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,854 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 86¢ $15K — +$2.4K
Monstrous-Dew
466 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $3.0K $9.1K —
True-Counsel
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $10K — +$10
New-Sickness
204 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $8.9K — +$3.6K
Glaring-Salt
2,044 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $7.7K — +$3.0K
Corrupt-Poisoning
453 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 72¢ $7.2K — +$2.8K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,922 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 70¢ $6.8K — +$2.9K
Spiffy-Revenue
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 22¢ $6.4K — −$6.4K
Corrupt-Barrel
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 89¢ $6.3K — +$745
Grateful-Chest
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 28¢ $5.6K — −$5.6K
0x1372…4ce0
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 86¢ $5.0K — +$814
Sour-Waveform-Motherinlaw
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.8K —
Fake-Bitter
1,429 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $4.7K — +$1.8K
Limping-Plan-Fishmonger
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99¢ $4.0K — +$40
Hefty-Metabolite
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 88¢ $3.9K — +$534
Utilized-Drum
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $3.8K — +$574
Scary-Farming
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $3.8K — +$549
Creamy-Guest
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $3.6K — +$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $566K
    98% of whale buying · 29 buyers · $84K sold
  2. No lost
    $12K
    2% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) $58K 5 Won: Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 $109K 3 Won: Over
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24? $52K 7 Won: No
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti $52K 17 Won: Lorenzo Musetti
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) $136K 19 Won: Grant Dawson
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? $233K 7 Won: No
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? $950K 36 Won: No
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? $90K 20 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed